Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 2.461598e-05 2.953481e-05 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048 0.000056 0.000064
2025-06-01 1.739422e-05 2.341125e-05 0.000030 0.000039 0.000050 0.000062 0.000076
2025-06-08 1.336479e-05 1.991632e-05 0.000028 0.000039 0.000052 0.000068 0.000088
2025-06-15 1.041827e-05 1.711523e-05 0.000026 0.000038 0.000054 0.000074 0.000099
2025-06-22 7.908758e-06 1.438014e-05 0.000024 0.000037 0.000055 0.000077 0.000107
2025-06-29 5.847548e-06 1.185903e-05 0.000021 0.000035 0.000054 0.000079 0.000113
2025-07-06 4.217118e-06 9.641431e-06 0.000018 0.000032 0.000053 0.000080 0.000118
2025-07-13 3.264485e-06 8.341882e-06 0.000017 0.000031 0.000053 0.000083 0.000125
2025-07-20 2.580403e-06 7.365867e-06 0.000016 0.000031 0.000054 0.000087 0.000133
2025-07-27 2.147236e-06 6.779348e-06 0.000016 0.000031 0.000056 0.000092 0.000144
2025-08-03 2.056884e-06 6.911066e-06 0.000017 0.000034 0.000062 0.000102 0.000161
2025-08-10 1.676638e-06 6.282066e-06 0.000016 0.000034 0.000063 0.000106 0.000171
2025-08-17 1.029908e-06 4.856825e-06 0.000014 0.000031 0.000062 0.000107 0.000176
2025-08-24 6.415172e-07 3.882997e-06 0.000012 0.000030 0.000061 0.000110 0.000185
2025-08-31 4.291727e-07 3.305203e-06 0.000012 0.000030 0.000063 0.000116 0.000198
2025-09-07 2.709667e-07 2.772179e-06 0.000011 0.000029 0.000064 0.000121 0.000210
2025-09-14 1.448115e-07 2.191017e-06 0.000010 0.000028 0.000064 0.000123 0.000219
2025-09-21 6.288541e-08 1.646797e-06 0.000008 0.000026 0.000063 0.000124 0.000224
2025-09-28 2.019853e-08 1.185053e-06 0.000007 0.000024 0.000061 0.000124 0.000229
2025-10-05 6.609612e-09 9.378389e-07 0.000007 0.000024 0.000061 0.000127 0.000238
2025-10-12 1.669981e-09 7.613383e-07 0.000006 0.000023 0.000062 0.000131 0.000250
2025-10-19 3.677647e-10 6.620638e-07 0.000006 0.000024 0.000064 0.000138 0.000265
2025-10-26 2.627812e-10 6.954255e-07 0.000006 0.000026 0.000070 0.000151 0.000290